Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 62-63°F in Atlanta on March 24 (29% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 62°F under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds ushering in cooler Canadian air behind a weak cold front. This edges out 64-65°F (24.5%) as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with slight ensemble mean bias toward the low 60s due to lingering upper-level troughing over the Southeast suppressing temperatures below March climatological norms of 67°F. Differentiating factors include frontal timing uncertainty—earlier passage favors 62-63°F, while delay could lift highs to 64-65°F—and diurnally driven boundary layer mixing, with key updates from 12Z model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 24?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 24?
62-63°F 28%
64-65°F 25%
60-61°F 18.7%
66-67°F 15%
59°F or below
12%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 28%
64-65°F 25%
60-61°F 18.7%
66-67°F 15%
59°F or below
12%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 62-63°F in Atlanta on March 24 (29% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 62°F under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds ushering in cooler Canadian air behind a weak cold front. This edges out 64-65°F (24.5%) as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with slight ensemble mean bias toward the low 60s due to lingering upper-level troughing over the Southeast suppressing temperatures below March climatological norms of 67°F. Differentiating factors include frontal timing uncertainty—earlier passage favors 62-63°F, while delay could lift highs to 64-65°F—and diurnally driven boundary layer mixing, with key updates from 12Z model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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