Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models pinpoint 18°C as the most probable daytime high in Tel Aviv on March 22, driving its 44% implied probability amid a stable Mediterranean high-pressure ridge with light southerly breezes limiting peaks. The Israel Meteorological Service aligns with this, projecting 17-19°C under partly cloudy skies following recent cooler anomalies from a passing trough. Historical March 22 averages sit near 19°C, but current sea surface temperatures around 18°C offshore and soil moisture deficits reinforce the 18°C lead over 19°C (24.5%) and 17°C (19%), with traders eyeing 12Z model updates for potential shifts in convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
18°C 44%
19°C 25%
17°C 19%
16°C 2.9%
$25,070 交易量
$25,070 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
44%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 44%
19°C 25%
17°C 19%
16°C 2.9%
$25,070 交易量
$25,070 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
44%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models pinpoint 18°C as the most probable daytime high in Tel Aviv on March 22, driving its 44% implied probability amid a stable Mediterranean high-pressure ridge with light southerly breezes limiting peaks. The Israel Meteorological Service aligns with this, projecting 17-19°C under partly cloudy skies following recent cooler anomalies from a passing trough. Historical March 22 averages sit near 19°C, but current sea surface temperatures around 18°C offshore and soil moisture deficits reinforce the 18°C lead over 19°C (24.5%) and 17°C (19%), with traders eyeing 12Z model updates for potential shifts in convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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