Trader sentiment clusters around 72-75°F for Los Angeles' March 25 high temperature, driven by converging global weather models like the GFS and ECMWF, which project a mid-70s peak amid a building high-pressure ridge off California's coast. The National Weather Service's latest forecast calls for a 74°F maximum under mostly clear skies with light winds, edging out 72-73°F due to the GFS's warmer bias from reduced marine layer influence and urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads—10-15% variance from diurnal timing and potential weak Santa Ana gusts—against March's historical average high of 69°F, though recent neutral ENSO conditions support above-normal warmth without extreme outliers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 17%
69°F or below 15%
84-85°F 14%
69°F or below
15%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 17%
69°F or below 15%
84-85°F 14%
69°F or below
15%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 72-75°F for Los Angeles' March 25 high temperature, driven by converging global weather models like the GFS and ECMWF, which project a mid-70s peak amid a building high-pressure ridge off California's coast. The National Weather Service's latest forecast calls for a 74°F maximum under mostly clear skies with light winds, edging out 72-73°F due to the GFS's warmer bias from reduced marine layer influence and urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads—10-15% variance from diurnal timing and potential weak Santa Ana gusts—against March's historical average high of 69°F, though recent neutral ENSO conditions support above-normal warmth without extreme outliers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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