Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 72-77°F for Los Angeles' March 24 high, driven by NOAA's National Weather Service forecast of 74°F under sunny skies amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF averaging 73-76°F. The slight edge for 76-77°F (24.5%) stems from recent ECMWF updates indicating stronger offshore Santa Ana-like flow eroding the morning marine layer by midday, allowing 2-3°F warmer peaks than GFS runs favoring 74-75°F amid coastal stratus persistence. Cooler 72-73°F odds reflect baseline March climatology (avg. 71°F), while 65°F-or-below bets hinge on unexpected onshore surge; 84°F+ fades on insufficient ridging depth per 500-mb charts. Watch afternoon NWS updates for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
84°F or higher 20.0%
65°F or below
17%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
14%
84°F or higher
20%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
84°F or higher 20.0%
65°F or below
17%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
14%
84°F or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 72-77°F for Los Angeles' March 24 high, driven by NOAA's National Weather Service forecast of 74°F under sunny skies amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF averaging 73-76°F. The slight edge for 76-77°F (24.5%) stems from recent ECMWF updates indicating stronger offshore Santa Ana-like flow eroding the morning marine layer by midday, allowing 2-3°F warmer peaks than GFS runs favoring 74-75°F amid coastal stratus persistence. Cooler 72-73°F odds reflect baseline March climatology (avg. 71°F), while 65°F-or-below bets hinge on unexpected onshore surge; 84°F+ fades on insufficient ridging depth per 500-mb charts. Watch afternoon NWS updates for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题