Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a 3°C high temperature in Toronto on March 21 stems from Environment Canada's official forecast, which projects a daytime maximum of 2-4°C amid persistent cold Canadian high-pressure influence and light snow chances. Ensemble models like GEM and ECMWF align closely, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms for late March, where historical averages hover around 4-6°C but current upper-air patterns suppress warming. Verified observations from Pearson Airport confirm recent chilly baselines. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or ridge breakdown injecting Atlantic warmth, though low-probability per 00Z model runs, potentially pushing toward 5°C if cloud cover clears unexpectedly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月21日多伦多气温最高?
3月21日多伦多气温最高?
3°C 99.8%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
6°C或更高 <1%
$239,824 交易量
$239,824 交易量
3°C
100%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C或更高
<1%
3°C 99.8%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
6°C或更高 <1%
$239,824 交易量
$239,824 交易量
3°C
100%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a 3°C high temperature in Toronto on March 21 stems from Environment Canada's official forecast, which projects a daytime maximum of 2-4°C amid persistent cold Canadian high-pressure influence and light snow chances. Ensemble models like GEM and ECMWF align closely, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms for late March, where historical averages hover around 4-6°C but current upper-air patterns suppress warming. Verified observations from Pearson Airport confirm recent chilly baselines. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or ridge breakdown injecting Atlantic warmth, though low-probability per 00Z model runs, potentially pushing toward 5°C if cloud cover clears unexpectedly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题