Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (31%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a daytime high near 82°F under a building subtropical ridge promoting warm advection from the south. Differentiating nearby bins, GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight spread of 80-84°F means, with 78-79°F viable if a weak frontal boundary stalls and enhances sea-breeze cooling, while 84-85°F hinges on stronger ridging suppressing clouds. Historical March 25 averages hover at 80°F, but above-normal sea surface temperatures boost odds for the upper 80s; monitor 18Z model runs for shifts in boundary timing, as small convective changes could swing the peak by 2-3°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on March 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 25?
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 23%
84-85°F 20%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 23%
84-85°F 20%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (31%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a daytime high near 82°F under a building subtropical ridge promoting warm advection from the south. Differentiating nearby bins, GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight spread of 80-84°F means, with 78-79°F viable if a weak frontal boundary stalls and enhances sea-breeze cooling, while 84-85°F hinges on stronger ridging suppressing clouds. Historical March 25 averages hover at 80°F, but above-normal sea surface temperatures boost odds for the upper 80s; monitor 18Z model runs for shifts in boundary timing, as small convective changes could swing the peak by 2-3°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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