Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 21–22°C highs for Chongqing on March 26 (each at 22.5% implied odds), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting peaks around 21.5°C amid a mild southerly airflow warming the Yangtze basin. Recent surface observations confirm daytime temperatures rising from 18°C mid-week, with low soil moisture from prior rains limiting evaporative cooling. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover potentially capping 23°C+ outcomes at lower odds, versus clearer skies amplifying urban heat island effects in the basin topography to favor 20–22°C. Historical March 26 averages hover at 19°C, but lingering El Niño influences boost warmer tails; watch CMA hourly updates for precise maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 23%
22°C 23%
20°C 20%
23°C 19%
18°C or below
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C or higher
16%
21°C 23%
22°C 23%
20°C 20%
23°C 19%
18°C or below
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 21–22°C highs for Chongqing on March 26 (each at 22.5% implied odds), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting peaks around 21.5°C amid a mild southerly airflow warming the Yangtze basin. Recent surface observations confirm daytime temperatures rising from 18°C mid-week, with low soil moisture from prior rains limiting evaporative cooling. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover potentially capping 23°C+ outcomes at lower odds, versus clearer skies amplifying urban heat island effects in the basin topography to favor 20–22°C. Historical March 26 averages hover at 19°C, but lingering El Niño influences boost warmer tails; watch CMA hourly updates for precise maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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