Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 17°C (31%) or 18°C (27%) in Chongqing on March 24, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, which project mild spring conditions with daytime highs in the upper teens amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Differentiating these frontrunners, subtle variations in afternoon solar heating versus cloud-induced suppression could cap peaks at 17°C, while clearer skies might nudge toward 18-19°C (21.5% combined); historical late-March averages hover around 16°C, but urban heat island effects and recent warming trends bolster the 17-19°C cluster over cooler 15-16°C outcomes (35% total). Hourly observations will clarify as diurnal temperature cycles peak mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 22%
16°C 17%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
15%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
33%
18°C
27%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
16%
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 22%
16°C 17%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
15%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
33%
18°C
27%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 17°C (31%) or 18°C (27%) in Chongqing on March 24, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, which project mild spring conditions with daytime highs in the upper teens amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Differentiating these frontrunners, subtle variations in afternoon solar heating versus cloud-induced suppression could cap peaks at 17°C, while clearer skies might nudge toward 18-19°C (21.5% combined); historical late-March averages hover around 16°C, but urban heat island effects and recent warming trends bolster the 17-19°C cluster over cooler 15-16°C outcomes (35% total). Hourly observations will clarify as diurnal temperature cycles peak mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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