Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Chongqing high of 20°C (38.5%) over 21°C (33.5%), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster around 20-21°C for March 22 amid persistent mild anticyclonic conditions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover—thicker stratus in some runs capping peaks at 20°C—and Chongqing's urban heat island effect, which amplifies diurnal warming by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Historical March averages hover at 18-19°C, but recent warming trends and light southerly winds boost implied odds. Upcoming hourly updates from China Meteorological Administration could shift the balance as resolution nears midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
20°C 39%
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
19°C 3.6%
$15,588 交易量
$15,588 交易量
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
39%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
19°C 3.6%
$15,588 交易量
$15,588 交易量
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
39%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Chongqing high of 20°C (38.5%) over 21°C (33.5%), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster around 20-21°C for March 22 amid persistent mild anticyclonic conditions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover—thicker stratus in some runs capping peaks at 20°C—and Chongqing's urban heat island effect, which amplifies diurnal warming by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Historical March averages hover at 18-19°C, but recent warming trends and light southerly winds boost implied odds. Upcoming hourly updates from China Meteorological Administration could shift the balance as resolution nears midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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