Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 18°C (38%) or 17°C (31%) for Chongqing on March 23, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project afternoon peaks in the 17-19°C range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include small variances in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects boosting potential to 18°C, versus increased low-level moisture suppressing it to 17°C, as indicated by recent China Meteorological Administration updates showing 80% confidence within 1°C of 17.5°C. Historical March norms around 18°C align closely, but today's pre-frontal warming adds slight upside risk, with resolution hinging on official observed max from local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
18°C 48%
17°C 30%
16°C 12%
19°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
31%
18°C
48%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 48%
17°C 30%
16°C 12%
19°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
31%
18°C
48%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 18°C (38%) or 17°C (31%) for Chongqing on March 23, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project afternoon peaks in the 17-19°C range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include small variances in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects boosting potential to 18°C, versus increased low-level moisture suppressing it to 17°C, as indicated by recent China Meteorological Administration updates showing 80% confidence within 1°C of 17.5°C. Historical March norms around 18°C align closely, but today's pre-frontal warming adds slight upside risk, with resolution hinging on official observed max from local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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