Traders overwhelmingly favor a high temperature of 8°C or below in Toronto on March 26 (51% implied probability), closely followed by 9°C (28%), reflecting Environment Canada's latest forecast of 6-8°C amid a persistent cold air mass from the north. A high-pressure ridge over Quebec is channeling Arctic air southward, suppressing warming with cloudy skies and northerly winds at 15-25 km/h, limiting daytime heating. Recent GFS and GEM model runs converge on this cool scenario after mid-week snowfall, aligning with March's climatological average high of 7°C but cooler than recent milder days. Slight uncertainty persists from potential afternoon clearing, boosting minor odds for 10-11°C, though trader consensus prioritizes sub-9°C outcomes based on observed trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日多伦多气温最高?
3月26日多伦多气温最高?
8°C或以下 29%
9°C 22%
11°C 21%
10°C 17%
8°C或以下
29%
9°C
28%
10°C
17%
11°C
21%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
1%
8°C或以下 29%
9°C 22%
11°C 21%
10°C 17%
8°C或以下
29%
9°C
28%
10°C
17%
11°C
21%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor a high temperature of 8°C or below in Toronto on March 26 (51% implied probability), closely followed by 9°C (28%), reflecting Environment Canada's latest forecast of 6-8°C amid a persistent cold air mass from the north. A high-pressure ridge over Quebec is channeling Arctic air southward, suppressing warming with cloudy skies and northerly winds at 15-25 km/h, limiting daytime heating. Recent GFS and GEM model runs converge on this cool scenario after mid-week snowfall, aligning with March's climatological average high of 7°C but cooler than recent milder days. Slight uncertainty persists from potential afternoon clearing, boosting minor odds for 10-11°C, though trader consensus prioritizes sub-9°C outcomes based on observed trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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