Traders overwhelmingly back 33°C (44.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting a peak of 33°C under mostly sunny skies with minimal rain chances during the inter-monsoon transition. This aligns with March climatology, where average highs hover at 32-33°C, amplified by lingering El Niño effects that have elevated regional temperatures 1-2°C above normal, as seen in recent days' records of 34°C on March 20. Urban heat island intensification and low wind speeds further position 32-34°C as frontrunners, while models show scant risk of cooler outliers below 31°C or extremes above 35°C absent thunderstorms. NEA's afternoon update could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 45%
32°C 32%
34°C 19%
31°C 4.3%
$71,787 交易量
$71,787 交易量
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
32%
33°C
45%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 45%
32°C 32%
34°C 19%
31°C 4.3%
$71,787 交易量
$71,787 交易量
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
32%
33°C
45%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 33°C (44.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting a peak of 33°C under mostly sunny skies with minimal rain chances during the inter-monsoon transition. This aligns with March climatology, where average highs hover at 32-33°C, amplified by lingering El Niño effects that have elevated regional temperatures 1-2°C above normal, as seen in recent days' records of 34°C on March 20. Urban heat island intensification and low wind speeds further position 32-34°C as frontrunners, while models show scant risk of cooler outliers below 31°C or extremes above 35°C absent thunderstorms. NEA's afternoon update could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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