Trader sentiment on Singapore's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 33°C at 41% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (30%) and 34°C (19.5%), reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of afternoon highs reaching 33°C under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. Recent observations from Changi show peaks of 32-34°C over the past week, consistent with March's inter-monsoon transition—characterized by high humidity, solar heating, and weak winds that enable heat accumulation but are moderated by convective rain. Historical March averages hover around 31.5°C, yet El Niño residuals and urban heat island effects have pushed recent years hotter, positioning extremes above 35°C as low-odds outliers amid model consensus for mid-30s peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于新加坡3月23日的最高温度?
新加坡3月23日的最高温度?
33°C 41%
32°C 30%
34°C 22%
35°C 5.8%
$19,685 交易量
$19,685 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
30%
33°C
41%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C或更高
3%
33°C 41%
32°C 30%
34°C 22%
35°C 5.8%
$19,685 交易量
$19,685 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
30%
33°C
41%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Singapore's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 33°C at 41% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (30%) and 34°C (19.5%), reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of afternoon highs reaching 33°C under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. Recent observations from Changi show peaks of 32-34°C over the past week, consistent with March's inter-monsoon transition—characterized by high humidity, solar heating, and weak winds that enable heat accumulation but are moderated by convective rain. Historical March averages hover around 31.5°C, yet El Niño residuals and urban heat island effects have pushed recent years hotter, positioning extremes above 35°C as low-odds outliers amid model consensus for mid-30s peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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