Ensemble weather models from authoritative sources like the ECMWF and GFS forecast Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 clustering around 17-18°C, driving the tight trader consensus with those outcomes at 20.5% implied probabilities each, edging out 16°C at 18%. Recent observations show mild spring conditions with daytime highs averaging 16-17°C this week, but differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system, which could cap peaks at 16°C or allow brief spikes to 18°C under clearer skies. Diurnal ranges of 8-10°C amplify uncertainty, as small shifts in solar insolation or winds tip outcomes; traders await 24-hour forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
18°C 22%
17°C 21%
16°C 18%
15°C 17%
11°C or below
17%
12°C
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
16%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
17%
18°C 22%
17°C 21%
16°C 18%
15°C 17%
11°C or below
17%
12°C
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
16%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from authoritative sources like the ECMWF and GFS forecast Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 clustering around 17-18°C, driving the tight trader consensus with those outcomes at 20.5% implied probabilities each, edging out 16°C at 18%. Recent observations show mild spring conditions with daytime highs averaging 16-17°C this week, but differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system, which could cap peaks at 16°C or allow brief spikes to 18°C under clearer skies. Diurnal ranges of 8-10°C amplify uncertainty, as small shifts in solar insolation or winds tip outcomes; traders await 24-hour forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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