Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 82-83°F (30%) and 78-79°F (28%) for Denver on March 24, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a strong upper-level ridge ushering warm, dry downslope winds—reminiscent of Chinook effects that historically spike Front Range temperatures 10-15°F above normals. NOAA's Weather Prediction Center highlights peak heating around 2-4 PM local time under sunny skies, with model spreads of ±4°F differentiating outcomes: stronger compression boosts 82-85°F odds, while any mid-level clouds or earlier front nudge toward 74-79°F. Historical March 24 data (avg. 57°F, record 80°F) underscores low risk below 70°F (5.4% combined), as soil preconditioning from recent mild spells amplifies adiabatic warming. Upcoming 12Z model runs could sharpen implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
7%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 82-83°F (30%) and 78-79°F (28%) for Denver on March 24, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a strong upper-level ridge ushering warm, dry downslope winds—reminiscent of Chinook effects that historically spike Front Range temperatures 10-15°F above normals. NOAA's Weather Prediction Center highlights peak heating around 2-4 PM local time under sunny skies, with model spreads of ±4°F differentiating outcomes: stronger compression boosts 82-85°F odds, while any mid-level clouds or earlier front nudge toward 74-79°F. Historical March 24 data (avg. 57°F, record 80°F) underscores low risk below 70°F (5.4% combined), as soil preconditioning from recent mild spells amplifies adiabatic warming. Upcoming 12Z model runs could sharpen implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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