Trader sentiment clusters around 82-84°F for Dallas's March 23 high, with 84°F+ edging out at 26.5% and 82-83°F at 25%, propelled by NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble means projecting 82-85°F under a potent upper-level ridge amplifying subsidence and clear skies over North Texas. Differentiating factors include model spread in boundary-layer mixing—favoring 84°F+ in drier, gustier runs—and potential cumulus cloud development capping 80-81°F peaks, per NWS Dallas-Fort Worth guidance. Light southerly winds and low soil moisture deficits enhance heating potential well above the 70°F climatological norm, though 18z model updates could refine these closely matched odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
84°F or higher 27%
82-83°F 25%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 16.8%
$15,088 交易量
$15,088 交易量
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
25%
84°F or higher
27%
84°F or higher 27%
82-83°F 25%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 16.8%
$15,088 交易量
$15,088 交易量
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
25%
84°F or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 82-84°F for Dallas's March 23 high, with 84°F+ edging out at 26.5% and 82-83°F at 25%, propelled by NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble means projecting 82-85°F under a potent upper-level ridge amplifying subsidence and clear skies over North Texas. Differentiating factors include model spread in boundary-layer mixing—favoring 84°F+ in drier, gustier runs—and potential cumulus cloud development capping 80-81°F peaks, per NWS Dallas-Fort Worth guidance. Light southerly winds and low soil moisture deficits enhance heating potential well above the 70°F climatological norm, though 18z model updates could refine these closely matched odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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