Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-53°F for Seattle's March 25 high temperature, driven by ensemble weather models like GFS and ECMWF converging on 51-52°F amid a high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and mild advection. The National Weather Service forecast pins the peak near 52°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), but traders hedge downward to 48-49°F due to lingering marine layer risks from cool Pacific inflow, potentially capping boundary-layer heating. Differentiating factors include subtle cloud deck persistence—clear skies enable 52-53°F via radiative warming, while stratus suppresses to 48-51°F. Historical March 25 averages hover at 53°F with 4-6°F variability, amplifying uncertainty until evening soundings confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 28%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
46-47°F 15%
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
28%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
10%
58°F or higher
8%
50-51°F 28%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
46-47°F 15%
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
28%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
10%
58°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-53°F for Seattle's March 25 high temperature, driven by ensemble weather models like GFS and ECMWF converging on 51-52°F amid a high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and mild advection. The National Weather Service forecast pins the peak near 52°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), but traders hedge downward to 48-49°F due to lingering marine layer risks from cool Pacific inflow, potentially capping boundary-layer heating. Differentiating factors include subtle cloud deck persistence—clear skies enable 52-53°F via radiative warming, while stratus suppresses to 48-51°F. Historical March 25 averages hover at 53°F with 4-6°F variability, amplifying uncertainty until evening soundings confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题