Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 22 high temperature centers on 50-53°F outcomes, with 50-51°F edging at 27% implied probability, propelled by latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering mild readings amid persistent onshore flow from the Pacific. This marine layer caps peaks below the 54°F March historical average, differentiating leaders through subtle model divergences: GFS ensembles skew 1-2°F warmer toward 52-53°F via partial afternoon clearing, while cooler Euro runs emphasize stratus persistence for 50-51°F. Recent soundings confirm high humidity aloft suppressing instability, with 48-49°F viable if overnight lows dip colder. Traders eye 12Z updates for cloud break timing, a pivotal threshold for 54°F+ upside.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月22日西雅图的最高温度?
3月22日西雅图的最高温度?
50-51°F 26%
52-53°F 26%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 19%
45°F或以下
3%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64°F或更高
1%
50-51°F 26%
52-53°F 26%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 19%
45°F或以下
3%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 22 high temperature centers on 50-53°F outcomes, with 50-51°F edging at 27% implied probability, propelled by latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering mild readings amid persistent onshore flow from the Pacific. This marine layer caps peaks below the 54°F March historical average, differentiating leaders through subtle model divergences: GFS ensembles skew 1-2°F warmer toward 52-53°F via partial afternoon clearing, while cooler Euro runs emphasize stratus persistence for 50-51°F. Recent soundings confirm high humidity aloft suppressing instability, with 48-49°F viable if overnight lows dip colder. Traders eye 12Z updates for cloud break timing, a pivotal threshold for 54°F+ upside.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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