Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C (37%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime peaks of 23-25°C amid a stable high-pressure system. Recent observations show overnight lows around 18-20°C and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes, aligning with late-summer norms where March averages hover near 24°C but cool slightly post-equinox. Minimal convective activity and neutral ENSO conditions reduce outlier risks, positioning 25°C (26%) and 23°C (24.5%) as strong contenders while damping tails like 28°C+. Upcoming SMN updates at 1200 UTC could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
3月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
23°C 25%
22°C 9%
$15,535 交易量
$15,535 交易量
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
38%
25°C
29%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
23°C 25%
22°C 9%
$15,535 交易量
$15,535 交易量
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
38%
25°C
29%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C (37%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime peaks of 23-25°C amid a stable high-pressure system. Recent observations show overnight lows around 18-20°C and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes, aligning with late-summer norms where March averages hover near 24°C but cool slightly post-equinox. Minimal convective activity and neutral ENSO conditions reduce outlier risks, positioning 25°C (26%) and 23°C (24.5%) as strong contenders while damping tails like 28°C+. Upcoming SMN updates at 1200 UTC could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题