Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors milder conditions for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 24, with 23°C or below leading at 40.5%, driven by the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ECMWF models projecting a cool southerly airflow suppressing highs amid the autumn transition. Ensemble predictions cluster around 23-26°C, reflecting sea breeze moderation and post-frontal stability after recent showers, aligning with March climatology where averages hover near 26°C but anomalies favor below-normal temps this week per NOAA CPC outlooks. Yesterday's high of 24°C and declining dew points further bolster lower-end odds, though diurnal variability could nudge toward 25-26°C if cloud cover clears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
23°C or below 36%
26°C 18%
24°C 16%
25°C 16%
23°C or below
41%
24°C
16%
25°C
21%
26°C
16%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
23°C or below 36%
26°C 18%
24°C 16%
25°C 16%
23°C or below
41%
24°C
16%
25°C
21%
26°C
16%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors milder conditions for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 24, with 23°C or below leading at 40.5%, driven by the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ECMWF models projecting a cool southerly airflow suppressing highs amid the autumn transition. Ensemble predictions cluster around 23-26°C, reflecting sea breeze moderation and post-frontal stability after recent showers, aligning with March climatology where averages hover near 26°C but anomalies favor below-normal temps this week per NOAA CPC outlooks. Yesterday's high of 24°C and declining dew points further bolster lower-end odds, though diurnal variability could nudge toward 25-26°C if cloud cover clears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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