Trader sentiment favors 84-85°F (39.5% implied probability) as Houston's March 24 high temperature, driven by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts showing a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promoting warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF indicate 500 mb heights 60-90 meters above normal, supporting highs 7-10°F above the late-March climatological average of 77°F, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds (<20%) enhancing solar heating. Yesterday's observed high of 82°F and southward-tracking H5 ridge in 00Z runs have boosted odds for 82-87°F bins, while cooler outcomes recede amid absent cold frontal threats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
14%
94°F or higher
9%
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
14%
94°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 84-85°F (39.5% implied probability) as Houston's March 24 high temperature, driven by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts showing a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promoting warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF indicate 500 mb heights 60-90 meters above normal, supporting highs 7-10°F above the late-March climatological average of 77°F, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds (<20%) enhancing solar heating. Yesterday's observed high of 82°F and southward-tracking H5 ridge in 00Z runs have boosted odds for 82-87°F bins, while cooler outcomes recede amid absent cold frontal threats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题