Latest ensemble weather model forecasts, including ECMWF and GFS, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 25 at 25-28°C, driving the tight clustering of trader odds around 26°C (25.5% implied probability), 27°C (23%), and 25°C (22.5%). Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional anticipates a peak near 26°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from the South Atlantic, which temper heat via sea breeze effects. This differentiates lower odds for 23-24°C (southwest flow cooling) from 28-29°C (residual subtropical ridge warmth), against a March historical average of 26°C. Model spread of 1-2°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing; traders eye today's 12z updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 21%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 21%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather model forecasts, including ECMWF and GFS, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 25 at 25-28°C, driving the tight clustering of trader odds around 26°C (25.5% implied probability), 27°C (23%), and 25°C (22.5%). Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional anticipates a peak near 26°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from the South Atlantic, which temper heat via sea breeze effects. This differentiates lower odds for 23-24°C (southwest flow cooling) from 28-29°C (residual subtropical ridge warmth), against a March historical average of 26°C. Model spread of 1-2°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing; traders eye today's 12z updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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