Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 19 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which converge on 55-57°F amid a building upper-level ridge bringing drier conditions and above-normal warmth for late winter. The razor-thin split between 54-55°F (35%) and 56-57°F (32.5%) reflects model spread of just 2°F, influenced by morning marine layer persistence and afternoon solar heating—key differentiators as persistent low clouds cap peaks at 54°F, while quicker clearance allows 56-57°F diurnal maxima. Historical March 19 averages sit at 54°F, but recent analogs from mild PNW patterns support the upside bias; watch NWS Seattle's 12z update for resolution-defining tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月19日西雅图最高气温?
3月19日西雅图最高气温?
54-55°F 38%
56-57°F 33%
52-53°F 14%
58-59°F 8%
$22,093 交易量
$22,093 交易量
43°F或以下
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
2%
62°F或更高
1%
54-55°F 38%
56-57°F 33%
52-53°F 14%
58-59°F 8%
$22,093 交易量
$22,093 交易量
43°F或以下
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
2%
62°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 15, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 19 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which converge on 55-57°F amid a building upper-level ridge bringing drier conditions and above-normal warmth for late winter. The razor-thin split between 54-55°F (35%) and 56-57°F (32.5%) reflects model spread of just 2°F, influenced by morning marine layer persistence and afternoon solar heating—key differentiators as persistent low clouds cap peaks at 54°F, while quicker clearance allows 56-57°F diurnal maxima. Historical March 19 averages sit at 54°F, but recent analogs from mild PNW patterns support the upside bias; watch NWS Seattle's 12z update for resolution-defining tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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