Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 28–29°C, driven by the latest INMET and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting mild highs amid lingering post-frontal cooling from recent southerly winds. These closely matched odds reflect model spread: the GFS ensemble mean hovers at 28.5°C, with perturbations favoring 29°C under reduced cloud cover and urban heat island amplification in the city's concrete sprawl, while 28°C gains from potential sea breeze incursions off the Atlantic. Historical March maxima average 28.2°C (1981–2010 baseline), but drier antecedent conditions boost 30°C upside risk at 16.5%; watch INMET's 18Z update for resolution-defining clarity on convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
29°C 33%
28°C 28%
27°C 16.0%
30°C 15%
$12,553 交易量
$12,553 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
33%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 33%
28°C 28%
27°C 16.0%
30°C 15%
$12,553 交易量
$12,553 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
33%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 28–29°C, driven by the latest INMET and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting mild highs amid lingering post-frontal cooling from recent southerly winds. These closely matched odds reflect model spread: the GFS ensemble mean hovers at 28.5°C, with perturbations favoring 29°C under reduced cloud cover and urban heat island amplification in the city's concrete sprawl, while 28°C gains from potential sea breeze incursions off the Atlantic. Historical March maxima average 28.2°C (1981–2010 baseline), but drier antecedent conditions boost 30°C upside risk at 16.5%; watch INMET's 18Z update for resolution-defining clarity on convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题