Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (38.5%) and 30°C (32.5%) as the highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24, driven by INMET's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 29-30°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity from Atlantic moisture inflow. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread around 29.5°C peak heating between 2-4 PM local time, differentiated by urban heat island amplification in Sao Paulo versus potential sea breeze moderation capping at 29°C. Recent observations indicate overnight lows near 22°C, supporting highs in this range absent convective showers, though 1-2°C upside risk persists from lingering El Niño warmth patterns. Historical March 24 averages hover at 28°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
29°C 37%
30°C 33%
28°C 30%
31°C 17%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
33%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
30°C 33%
28°C 30%
31°C 17%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
33%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (38.5%) and 30°C (32.5%) as the highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24, driven by INMET's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 29-30°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity from Atlantic moisture inflow. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread around 29.5°C peak heating between 2-4 PM local time, differentiated by urban heat island amplification in Sao Paulo versus potential sea breeze moderation capping at 29°C. Recent observations indicate overnight lows near 22°C, supporting highs in this range absent convective showers, though 1-2°C upside risk persists from lingering El Niño warmth patterns. Historical March 24 averages hover at 28°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题