Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Seattle's highest temperature on March 23 clustering in the low 50s°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting a high near 52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northerly flow. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight spreads around 50-53°F, with 50-51°F edging ahead at 40.5% due to potential overcast skies limiting diurnal heating, versus 52-53°F at 36% if partial sun breaks through. Historical late-March averages hover at 54°F, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming, while minor uncertainties in boundary layer mixing differentiate these bins; watch afternoon NWS updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月23日西雅图最高气温?
3月23日西雅图最高气温?
50-51°F 40%
52-53°F 36%
48-49°F 12%
54-55°F 9%
41°F或以下
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
1%
60°F或更高
1%
50-51°F 40%
52-53°F 36%
48-49°F 12%
54-55°F 9%
41°F或以下
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
1%
60°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Seattle's highest temperature on March 23 clustering in the low 50s°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting a high near 52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northerly flow. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight spreads around 50-53°F, with 50-51°F edging ahead at 40.5% due to potential overcast skies limiting diurnal heating, versus 52-53°F at 36% if partial sun breaks through. Historical late-March averages hover at 54°F, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming, while minor uncertainties in boundary layer mixing differentiate these bins; watch afternoon NWS updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题