Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high of around 25°C in Buenos Aires on March 27, driving trader consensus with that outcome at 25.5% implied probability amid tight clustering for 24-28°C. This reflects cooling influences from a passing frontal system and southerly winds moderating earlier heat, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates, against historical March 27 averages of 26-27°C. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification, with low confidence in extremes below 23°C or above 33°C due to stable mid-level subsidence; traders await afternoon soundings for final sharpening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
25°C 25%
26°C 18%
27°C 18%
24°C 18%
23°C or below
8%
24°C
18%
25°C
25%
26°C
18%
27°C
18%
28°C
18%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
14%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
25°C 25%
26°C 18%
27°C 18%
24°C 18%
23°C or below
8%
24°C
18%
25°C
25%
26°C
18%
27°C
18%
28°C
18%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
14%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high of around 25°C in Buenos Aires on March 27, driving trader consensus with that outcome at 25.5% implied probability amid tight clustering for 24-28°C. This reflects cooling influences from a passing frontal system and southerly winds moderating earlier heat, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates, against historical March 27 averages of 26-27°C. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification, with low confidence in extremes below 23°C or above 33°C due to stable mid-level subsidence; traders await afternoon soundings for final sharpening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题