Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly clustered around 17-25.5% probabilities due to divergent short-range forecast models amid spring's volatile weather patterns in central China. Leading ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high of 20-23°C, favoring those outcomes, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air masses post a recent cold front, with historical late-March averages near 17°C providing baseline context. Uncertainty stems from potential cloud cover and diel temperature swings, as low-level jet streams could either enhance mixing for higher peaks or trap cooler air near 15-18°C; traders eye CMA updates and 12Z model runs for resolution-defining clarity on peak hourly readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
25°C or higher 26%
22°C 18%
23°C 18%
18°C 17%
15°C or below
8%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
26%
25°C or higher 26%
22°C 18%
23°C 18%
18°C 17%
15°C or below
8%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly clustered around 17-25.5% probabilities due to divergent short-range forecast models amid spring's volatile weather patterns in central China. Leading ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high of 20-23°C, favoring those outcomes, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air masses post a recent cold front, with historical late-March averages near 17°C providing baseline context. Uncertainty stems from potential cloud cover and diel temperature swings, as low-level jet streams could either enhance mixing for higher peaks or trap cooler air near 15-18°C; traders eye CMA updates and 12Z model runs for resolution-defining clarity on peak hourly readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题