Trader consensus favors a Denver high of 54-55°F at 23.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model averages from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mid-50s peaks amid weak upper-level ridging and southerly winds enhancing downslope warming off the Rockies. Closely trailing bins like 49°F or below (19%) and 50-51°F (18.5%) reflect uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover, with cooler outcomes possible if diurnally driven stratus lingers into afternoon, suppressing insolation. Historical March 27 norms hover near 52°F, but current 500 mb height anomalies suggest mild above-normal conditions; watch the next 18z model runs for shifts in boundary layer mixing that could differentiate these tight odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
54-55°F 24%
49°F or below 19%
52-53°F 18%
50-51°F 18%
49°F or below
19%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 24%
49°F or below 19%
52-53°F 18%
50-51°F 18%
49°F or below
19%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Denver high of 54-55°F at 23.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model averages from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mid-50s peaks amid weak upper-level ridging and southerly winds enhancing downslope warming off the Rockies. Closely trailing bins like 49°F or below (19%) and 50-51°F (18.5%) reflect uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover, with cooler outcomes possible if diurnally driven stratus lingers into afternoon, suppressing insolation. Historical March 27 norms hover near 52°F, but current 500 mb height anomalies suggest mild above-normal conditions; watch the next 18z model runs for shifts in boundary layer mixing that could differentiate these tight odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题