Trader sentiment on Dallas's highest temperature on March 28 leans toward 68°F or higher at 47.5% implied probability, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts projecting highs of 68-72°F under a ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-60s peaks, consistent with March climatology (average high ~70°F) and recent departure from cooler anomalies after mid-month cold fronts. Lower odds for 66-67°F (16.5%) and below stem from low ensemble spread and minimal upside risk for renewed northerly winds, though convective showers could cap peaks; monitor NWS 18z update for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 48%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
48%
68°F or higher 48%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Dallas's highest temperature on March 28 leans toward 68°F or higher at 47.5% implied probability, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts projecting highs of 68-72°F under a ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-60s peaks, consistent with March climatology (average high ~70°F) and recent departure from cooler anomalies after mid-month cold fronts. Lower odds for 66-67°F (16.5%) and below stem from low ensemble spread and minimal upside risk for renewed northerly winds, though convective showers could cap peaks; monitor NWS 18z update for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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