As of April 18, Korea Meteorological Administration observations show Seoul's April precipitation totaling just 20.1 mm, with the bulk—18.9 mm—falling on April 10 and no measurable rain since April 12, driving trader consensus to a 65% implied probability for under 40 mm total. This starkly trails the historical April average of 65–80 mm, amid KMA's early-year outlook for a hotter, drier 2026 influenced by elevated sea surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure systems. Short-range KMA forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 60% in spots) through month's end, though model ensembles like ECMWF note minor uncertainty from potential frontal passages; daily updates will refine remaining accumulation risks before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月首尔降水量？
4月首尔降水量？
65-70毫米 10%
75毫米及以上 10.0%
45-50毫米 7.5%
55-60毫米 8%
$17,923 交易量
$17,923 交易量
2026-04-30
少于40毫米
42%
40-45毫米
10%
45-50毫米
8%
50-55毫米
31%
55-60毫米
8%
60-65毫米
6%
65-70毫米
27%
70-75毫米
3%
75毫米及以上
9%
65-70毫米 10%
75毫米及以上 10.0%
45-50毫米 7.5%
55-60毫米 8%
$17,923 交易量
$17,923 交易量
2026-04-30
少于40毫米
$10,953 交易量
42%
40-45毫米
$327 交易量
10%
45-50毫米
$398 交易量
8%
50-55毫米
$1,803 交易量
31%
55-60毫米
$2,451 交易量
8%
60-65毫米
$271 交易量
6%
65-70毫米
$478 交易量
27%
70-75毫米
$459 交易量
3%
75毫米及以上
$784 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 18, Korea Meteorological Administration observations show Seoul's April precipitation totaling just 20.1 mm, with the bulk—18.9 mm—falling on April 10 and no measurable rain since April 12, driving trader consensus to a 65% implied probability for under 40 mm total. This starkly trails the historical April average of 65–80 mm, amid KMA's early-year outlook for a hotter, drier 2026 influenced by elevated sea surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure systems. Short-range KMA forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 60% in spots) through month's end, though model ensembles like ECMWF note minor uncertainty from potential frontal passages; daily updates will refine remaining accumulation risks before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
交易量
$17,923结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 18, Korea Meteorological Administration observations show Seoul's April precipitation totaling just 20.1 mm, with the bulk—18.9 mm—falling on April 10 and no measurable rain since April 12, driving trader consensus to a 65% implied probability for under 40 mm total. This starkly trails the historical April average of 65–80 mm, amid KMA's early-year outlook for a hotter, drier 2026 influenced by elevated sea surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure systems. Short-range KMA forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 60% in spots) through month's end, though model ensembles like ECMWF note minor uncertainty from potential frontal passages; daily updates will refine remaining accumulation risks before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,923结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 18, Korea Meteorological Administration observations show Seoul's April precipitation totaling just 20.1 mm, with the bulk—18.9 mm—falling on April 10 and no measurable rain since April 12, driving trader consensus to a 65% implied probability for under 40 mm total. This starkly trails the historical April average of 65–80 mm, amid KMA's early-year outlook for a hotter, drier 2026 influenced by elevated sea surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure systems. Short-range KMA forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 60% in spots) through month's end, though model ensembles like ECMWF note minor uncertainty from potential frontal passages; daily updates will refine remaining accumulation risks before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题