Trader sentiment for Austin's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around the low-to-upper 70s, with 72-73°F (22%) narrowly leading 80°F or higher (20.5%) amid divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models. GFS guidance projects 76-78°F peaks under persistent upper-ridge warmth and southerly advection, boosting hotter tails, while ECMWF tempers to 72-74°F via potential mid-afternoon cumulus clouds and boundary-layer capping from Gulf moisture. Historical March 28 norms average 75°F with a 5°F standard deviation, heightening leverage from today's 12z runs and observed low-level winds, as minimal cold-front risk keeps upside skew alive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on March 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 28?
72-73°F 22%
80°F or higher 18%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 18%
61°F or below
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
10%
80°F or higher
18%
72-73°F 22%
80°F or higher 18%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 18%
61°F or below
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
10%
80°F or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Austin's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around the low-to-upper 70s, with 72-73°F (22%) narrowly leading 80°F or higher (20.5%) amid divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models. GFS guidance projects 76-78°F peaks under persistent upper-ridge warmth and southerly advection, boosting hotter tails, while ECMWF tempers to 72-74°F via potential mid-afternoon cumulus clouds and boundary-layer capping from Gulf moisture. Historical March 28 norms average 75°F with a 5°F standard deviation, heightening leverage from today's 12z runs and observed low-level winds, as minimal cold-front risk keeps upside skew alive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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