Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and global models like GFS indicate a high of 17-19°C for Milan on March 29, aligning with the tight trader consensus where 17°C (26%), 18°C (25%), and 19°C (22.5%) lead. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean is steering mild southerly airflow into northern Italy, pushing temperatures 2-3°C above the late March climatological average of 14-16°C at Milan Linate Airport, the likely resolution site. Differentiating factors include minor model spread on cloud cover and urban heat island effects, with some runs favoring 17°C under partial sunshine and others 18-19°C in clearer skies. Uncertainty persists in final diurnal warming; official hourly observations from Aeronautica Militare will resolve the market by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月29日米兰的最高温度?
3月29日米兰的最高温度?
17°C 26%
18°C 25%
19°C 25%
16°C 17%
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
17%
17°C
26%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
13%
21°C
11%
22°C或更高
9%
17°C 26%
18°C 25%
19°C 25%
16°C 17%
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
17%
17°C
26%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
13%
21°C
11%
22°C或更高
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and global models like GFS indicate a high of 17-19°C for Milan on March 29, aligning with the tight trader consensus where 17°C (26%), 18°C (25%), and 19°C (22.5%) lead. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean is steering mild southerly airflow into northern Italy, pushing temperatures 2-3°C above the late March climatological average of 14-16°C at Milan Linate Airport, the likely resolution site. Differentiating factors include minor model spread on cloud cover and urban heat island effects, with some runs favoring 17°C under partial sunshine and others 18-19°C in clearer skies. Uncertainty persists in final diurnal warming; official hourly observations from Aeronautica Militare will resolve the market by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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