Recent Met Office and ECMWF model updates have propelled trader consensus toward a high of 13°C in London on March 29, implying 30% odds amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southwesterly flows, with lighter winds enhancing daytime heating. This edges out 11-12°C outcomes (55% combined) as forecasts converge on partial sunshine boosting insolation, though lingering low cloud or Atlantic fronts could cap peaks at 11°C per GFS variants. Climatological March late averages hover at 11.5°C, but current jet stream positioning favors upside warmth; key watch is tomorrow's 12Z model runs for boundary layer refinements differentiating these slim margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月29日伦敦气温最高?
3月29日伦敦气温最高?
13°C 30%
11°C 28%
12°C 27%
10°C 15%
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
6%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
15%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
9%
15°C
6%
16°C或更高
1%
13°C 30%
11°C 28%
12°C 27%
10°C 15%
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
6%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
15%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
9%
15°C
6%
16°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model updates have propelled trader consensus toward a high of 13°C in London on March 29, implying 30% odds amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southwesterly flows, with lighter winds enhancing daytime heating. This edges out 11-12°C outcomes (55% combined) as forecasts converge on partial sunshine boosting insolation, though lingering low cloud or Atlantic fronts could cap peaks at 11°C per GFS variants. Climatological March late averages hover at 11.5°C, but current jet stream positioning favors upside warmth; key watch is tomorrow's 12Z model runs for boundary layer refinements differentiating these slim margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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