Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature in London on March 28 at 10-12°C, with 10°C (28.5%) and 11°C (28%) leading narrowly over 12°C (21%), driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 10-11°C amid a weak Atlantic high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include model spread in low-level cloud cover and northerly winds: clearer skies in some GFS runs favor 12°C via enhanced insolation, while persistent stratocumulus in UKMO guidance caps peaks at 10°C by limiting solar heating. Historical averages (11.2°C for late March) and recent cold snaps underscore this tight clustering, with short-range updates by March 27 poised to sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日伦敦气温最高?
3月28日伦敦气温最高?
11°C 28%
10°C 27%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C或更高
2%
11°C 28%
10°C 27%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature in London on March 28 at 10-12°C, with 10°C (28.5%) and 11°C (28%) leading narrowly over 12°C (21%), driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 10-11°C amid a weak Atlantic high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include model spread in low-level cloud cover and northerly winds: clearer skies in some GFS runs favor 12°C via enhanced insolation, while persistent stratocumulus in UKMO guidance caps peaks at 10°C by limiting solar heating. Historical averages (11.2°C for late March) and recent cold snaps underscore this tight clustering, with short-range updates by March 27 poised to sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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