Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 9°C (29%) for London's March 26 maximum temperature, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting cloudy skies and outbreaks of rain capping daytime highs amid a weak Atlantic low-pressure system. This edges out 8°C (24.5%) and 7°C (22.5%), as ensemble models like ECMWF show slight spreads: persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation, while potential for lighter winds could nudge toward 10°C (22%). Historical late-March averages hover at 11°C, but recent cool anomalies and frontal timing introduce uncertainty, compressing probabilities around 7–10°C versus milder outliers. Upcoming 12Z model runs could shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日伦敦气温最高?
3月26日伦敦气温最高?
9°C 29%
8°C 25%
10°C 23%
7°C 22%
3°C或以下
1%
4°C
15%
5°C
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
23%
11°C
19%
12°C
17%
13°C或更高
12%
9°C 29%
8°C 25%
10°C 23%
7°C 22%
3°C或以下
1%
4°C
15%
5°C
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
23%
11°C
19%
12°C
17%
13°C或更高
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 9°C (29%) for London's March 26 maximum temperature, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting cloudy skies and outbreaks of rain capping daytime highs amid a weak Atlantic low-pressure system. This edges out 8°C (24.5%) and 7°C (22.5%), as ensemble models like ECMWF show slight spreads: persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation, while potential for lighter winds could nudge toward 10°C (22%). Historical late-March averages hover at 11°C, but recent cool anomalies and frontal timing introduce uncertainty, compressing probabilities around 7–10°C versus milder outliers. Upcoming 12Z model runs could shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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