Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 23°C at 28.5%, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a midday peak near that mark under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover from a lingering weak front—more overcast conditions could cap it at 22°C or 21°C, while brief sun breaks might push to 24°C or 25°C, as hinted by ECMWF ensemble means around 23.2°C. Historical March 28 highs average 23.5°C at Taipei station, with urban heat island effects amplifying small radiative forcings; upcoming hourly updates from CWA will sharpen these market-implied odds amid typical diurnal uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
22°C 29%
23°C 29%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
9%
21°C
15%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
9%
22°C 29%
23°C 29%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
9%
21°C
15%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 23°C at 28.5%, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a midday peak near that mark under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover from a lingering weak front—more overcast conditions could cap it at 22°C or 21°C, while brief sun breaks might push to 24°C or 25°C, as hinted by ECMWF ensemble means around 23.2°C. Historical March 28 highs average 23.5°C at Taipei station, with urban heat island effects amplifying small radiative forcings; upcoming hourly updates from CWA will sharpen these market-implied odds amid typical diurnal uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题