Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19°C to 21°C for Chongqing's March 28 high, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, projecting a peak of 19-20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent observations show morning lows near 14°C with gradual warming, aligning with seasonal norms of 16-20°C March highs, but urban heat island effects in the basin city could nudge toward 21°C if afternoon sunshine intensifies. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—ECMWF drier than GFS—and microclimate variations from Yangtze River humidity, yielding 23.5% implied odds for 19°C as the consensus amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty typical for spring diurnal cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
19°C 24%
20°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 16%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
13%
18°C
18%
19°C
24%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
16%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 24%
20°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 16%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
13%
18°C
18%
19°C
24%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
16%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19°C to 21°C for Chongqing's March 28 high, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, projecting a peak of 19-20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent observations show morning lows near 14°C with gradual warming, aligning with seasonal norms of 16-20°C March highs, but urban heat island effects in the basin city could nudge toward 21°C if afternoon sunshine intensifies. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—ECMWF drier than GFS—and microclimate variations from Yangtze River humidity, yielding 23.5% implied odds for 19°C as the consensus amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty typical for spring diurnal cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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