Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 27 splits nearly evenly between 71°F or below (25.5%) and 90°F or higher (25.0%), driven by divergent NOAA Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) runs showing bimodal outcomes amid transitioning weather patterns. Recent 00Z model updates highlight a 40-50% chance of persistent marine layer onshore flow capping highs in the low 70s under typical late-March climatology (historical average ~69°F at LAX), versus a strengthening upper-level ridge and potential Santa Ana winds that could surge temperatures into the 90s+ as seen in prior events like March 2023's 92°F peak. Mid-range bins lag due to lower ensemble clustering, with NWS point forecast leaning toward 76-78°F but acknowledging high spread through resolution day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
71°F or below 26%
72-73°F 17%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 17%
71°F or below
26%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
90°F or higher
8%
71°F or below 26%
72-73°F 17%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 17%
71°F or below
26%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
90°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 27 splits nearly evenly between 71°F or below (25.5%) and 90°F or higher (25.0%), driven by divergent NOAA Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) runs showing bimodal outcomes amid transitioning weather patterns. Recent 00Z model updates highlight a 40-50% chance of persistent marine layer onshore flow capping highs in the low 70s under typical late-March climatology (historical average ~69°F at LAX), versus a strengthening upper-level ridge and potential Santa Ana winds that could surge temperatures into the 90s+ as seen in prior events like March 2023's 92°F peak. Mid-range bins lag due to lower ensemble clustering, with NWS point forecast leaning toward 76-78°F but acknowledging high spread through resolution day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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