Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F (23%) on March 27, driven by the latest 00Z GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from NOAA, which converge on peaks near 84°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. This setup features warm southerly winds advecting heat from the Gulf, with surface dewpoints in the 60s°F enabling efficient boundary-layer mixing. Differentiating nearby bins, 82-83°F (18.5%) accounts for potential lingering morning stratus clouds reducing insolation, while 86-87°F (16%) hinges on drier conditions maximizing solar heating; lower outcomes like 78-79°F fade given the +10°F departure from March norms and minimal cold-front risk per NWS outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 16%
78-79°F 14%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
9%
94°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 16%
78-79°F 14%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
9%
94°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F (23%) on March 27, driven by the latest 00Z GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from NOAA, which converge on peaks near 84°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. This setup features warm southerly winds advecting heat from the Gulf, with surface dewpoints in the 60s°F enabling efficient boundary-layer mixing. Differentiating nearby bins, 82-83°F (18.5%) accounts for potential lingering morning stratus clouds reducing insolation, while 86-87°F (16%) hinges on drier conditions maximizing solar heating; lower outcomes like 78-79°F fade given the +10°F departure from March norms and minimal cold-front risk per NWS outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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