Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 98.6% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 12°C or higher on March 30, driven by authoritative forecasts from Gismeteo, Yandex Weather, and AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 15–18°C amid an ongoing abnormally warm spell. March 2026 has shattered records, with +17°C observed on March 28 and up to +18°C forecast for March 29, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems delivering sunny skies and mild southerly flows—far exceeding the late-March climatological average of 3–5°C. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport will determine resolution; a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air or increased cloud cover could challenge this, though model ensembles show strong agreement on continued warmth through day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30?
12°C or higher 98.6%
11°C 1.4%
10°C <1%
NEW
$17,071 交易量
NEW
$17,071 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C or higher
99%
12°C or higher 98.6%
11°C 1.4%
10°C <1%
NEW
$17,071 交易量
NEW
$17,071 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
10°C
$3,552 交易量
1%
11°C
$349 交易量
1%
12°C or higher
$1,324 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 98.6% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 12°C or higher on March 30, driven by authoritative forecasts from Gismeteo, Yandex Weather, and AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 15–18°C amid an ongoing abnormally warm spell. March 2026 has shattered records, with +17°C observed on March 28 and up to +18°C forecast for March 29, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems delivering sunny skies and mild southerly flows—far exceeding the late-March climatological average of 3–5°C. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport will determine resolution; a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air or increased cloud cover could challenge this, though model ensembles show strong agreement on continued warmth through day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$17,071结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 98.6% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 12°C or higher on March 30, driven by authoritative forecasts from Gismeteo, Yandex Weather, and AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 15–18°C amid an ongoing abnormally warm spell. March 2026 has shattered records, with +17°C observed on March 28 and up to +18°C forecast for March 29, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems delivering sunny skies and mild southerly flows—far exceeding the late-March climatological average of 3–5°C. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport will determine resolution; a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air or increased cloud cover could challenge this, though model ensembles show strong agreement on continued warmth through day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,071结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 98.6% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 12°C or higher on March 30, driven by authoritative forecasts from Gismeteo, Yandex Weather, and AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 15–18°C amid an ongoing abnormally warm spell. March 2026 has shattered records, with +17°C observed on March 28 and up to +18°C forecast for March 29, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems delivering sunny skies and mild southerly flows—far exceeding the late-March climatological average of 3–5°C. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport will determine resolution; a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air or increased cloud cover could challenge this, though model ensembles show strong agreement on continued warmth through day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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