Trader consensus on Seattle's March 29 high temperature clusters tightly around 50-56°F, reflecting split ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models amid low-confidence spring patterns. The 50-51°F lead (26.5%) aligns with persistent marine stratus and onshore flow capping diurnal heating, while 56°F+ (25.5%) bets on an emerging offshore ridge eroding clouds for stronger insolation. Historical late-March highs average 54°F, but recent 12z runs show ECMWF favoring cooler mid-50s due to weak frontal moisture, versus GFS implying 55°F peaks if clear skies dominate post-sunrise. Pivotal: 00z updates and observed cloud trends at Sea-Tac will sharpen resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
50-51°F 27%
52-53°F 24%
56°F or higher 22%
54-55°F 17%
37°F or below
2%
38-39°F
8%
40-41°F
11%
42-43°F
12%
44-45°F
15%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
17%
56°F or higher
14%
50-51°F 27%
52-53°F 24%
56°F or higher 22%
54-55°F 17%
37°F or below
2%
38-39°F
8%
40-41°F
11%
42-43°F
12%
44-45°F
15%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
17%
56°F or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's March 29 high temperature clusters tightly around 50-56°F, reflecting split ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models amid low-confidence spring patterns. The 50-51°F lead (26.5%) aligns with persistent marine stratus and onshore flow capping diurnal heating, while 56°F+ (25.5%) bets on an emerging offshore ridge eroding clouds for stronger insolation. Historical late-March highs average 54°F, but recent 12z runs show ECMWF favoring cooler mid-50s due to weak frontal moisture, versus GFS implying 55°F peaks if clear skies dominate post-sunrise. Pivotal: 00z updates and observed cloud trends at Sea-Tac will sharpen resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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