Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Seoul's official station confirm a daytime high of 18°C on March 30, anchoring trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light northerly winds (under 10 km/h), and low humidity (20–35%) that maximize solar heating from a morning low near 7–10°C. This exceeds late-March climatological norms (historical average ~12°C) due to atmospheric stability suppressing clouds, with ensemble models converging tightly on 17–18°C peaks around midday. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon marine layer intrusion cooling to 17°C or extended sunshine breaching 19°C, though upper-level capping limits volatility; final KMA updates and midnight observations will resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
18°C 99.6%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
11°C <1%
$291,880 交易量
$291,880 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
11°C <1%
$291,880 交易量
$291,880 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Seoul's official station confirm a daytime high of 18°C on March 30, anchoring trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light northerly winds (under 10 km/h), and low humidity (20–35%) that maximize solar heating from a morning low near 7–10°C. This exceeds late-March climatological norms (historical average ~12°C) due to atmospheric stability suppressing clouds, with ensemble models converging tightly on 17–18°C peaks around midday. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon marine layer intrusion cooling to 17°C or extended sunshine breaching 19°C, though upper-level capping limits volatility; final KMA updates and midnight observations will resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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