Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Moscow's highest temperature on April 1 reaching up to 17°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting mild air from the south, aligning with trader consensus implying 69% odds for 17°C or higher. This reflects late March's abnormally warm spell, with recent highs of 16–17°C under hazy sunshine and minimal precipitation, per Roshydromet observations—well above early April climatological norms of 9–11°C highs. Outcomes around 14–16°C (41–45% implied probabilities) capture model spread uncertainty, while sub-8°C odds remain low at 3% given the entrenched warm anomaly. Traders await final 00Z model runs and Vnukovo/DME airport observations for resolution, as short-range forecasts can shift with boundary layer effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 1?
17°C or higher 68%
14°C 48%
15°C 43%
16°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
7°C or below
3%
8°C
40%
9°C
11%
10°C
41%
11°C
22%
12°C
39%
13°C
22%
14°C
48%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C or higher
68%
17°C or higher 68%
14°C 48%
15°C 43%
16°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
7°C or below
$155 交易量
3%
8°C
$5 交易量
40%
9°C
$5 交易量
11%
10°C
$5 交易量
41%
11°C
$5 交易量
22%
12°C
$5 交易量
39%
13°C
$5 交易量
22%
14°C
$9 交易量
48%
15°C
$5 交易量
43%
16°C
$5 交易量
43%
17°C or higher
$138 交易量
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Moscow's highest temperature on April 1 reaching up to 17°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting mild air from the south, aligning with trader consensus implying 69% odds for 17°C or higher. This reflects late March's abnormally warm spell, with recent highs of 16–17°C under hazy sunshine and minimal precipitation, per Roshydromet observations—well above early April climatological norms of 9–11°C highs. Outcomes around 14–16°C (41–45% implied probabilities) capture model spread uncertainty, while sub-8°C odds remain low at 3% given the entrenched warm anomaly. Traders await final 00Z model runs and Vnukovo/DME airport observations for resolution, as short-range forecasts can shift with boundary layer effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
交易量
$341结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Moscow's highest temperature on April 1 reaching up to 17°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting mild air from the south, aligning with trader consensus implying 69% odds for 17°C or higher. This reflects late March's abnormally warm spell, with recent highs of 16–17°C under hazy sunshine and minimal precipitation, per Roshydromet observations—well above early April climatological norms of 9–11°C highs. Outcomes around 14–16°C (41–45% implied probabilities) capture model spread uncertainty, while sub-8°C odds remain low at 3% given the entrenched warm anomaly. Traders await final 00Z model runs and Vnukovo/DME airport observations for resolution, as short-range forecasts can shift with boundary layer effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$341结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Moscow's highest temperature on April 1 reaching up to 17°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting mild air from the south, aligning with trader consensus implying 69% odds for 17°C or higher. This reflects late March's abnormally warm spell, with recent highs of 16–17°C under hazy sunshine and minimal precipitation, per Roshydromet observations—well above early April climatological norms of 9–11°C highs. Outcomes around 14–16°C (41–45% implied probabilities) capture model spread uncertainty, while sub-8°C odds remain low at 3% given the entrenched warm anomaly. Traders await final 00Z model runs and Vnukovo/DME airport observations for resolution, as short-range forecasts can shift with boundary layer effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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