Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high near 78°F in Dallas on April 1, aligned with climatological normals of about 76°F, but with upside potential from GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts suggesting 82–84°F under a developing upper-level ridge and spring 2026 outlooks favoring above-normal temperatures across Texas due to transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. The fragmented probabilities across 70s–80s outcomes highlight high uncertainty from model spread, including risks of increased cloud cover, Gulf moisture influx, or a trailing cold front delaying mixing and capping highs below 75°F, versus clear skies and southerly winds boosting 84°F+. Watch daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model runs through March 31 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
84°F或更高 30%
76-77°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
8%
84°F或更高
25%
84°F或更高 30%
76-77°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
65°F or below
$145 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$121 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$15 交易量
7%
74-75°F
$416 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$884 交易量
17%
78-79°F
$493 交易量
9%
80-81°F
$237 交易量
12%
82-83°F
$40 交易量
8%
84°F或更高
$388 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high near 78°F in Dallas on April 1, aligned with climatological normals of about 76°F, but with upside potential from GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts suggesting 82–84°F under a developing upper-level ridge and spring 2026 outlooks favoring above-normal temperatures across Texas due to transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. The fragmented probabilities across 70s–80s outcomes highlight high uncertainty from model spread, including risks of increased cloud cover, Gulf moisture influx, or a trailing cold front delaying mixing and capping highs below 75°F, versus clear skies and southerly winds boosting 84°F+. Watch daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model runs through March 31 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,571结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high near 78°F in Dallas on April 1, aligned with climatological normals of about 76°F, but with upside potential from GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts suggesting 82–84°F under a developing upper-level ridge and spring 2026 outlooks favoring above-normal temperatures across Texas due to transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. The fragmented probabilities across 70s–80s outcomes highlight high uncertainty from model spread, including risks of increased cloud cover, Gulf moisture influx, or a trailing cold front delaying mixing and capping highs below 75°F, versus clear skies and southerly winds boosting 84°F+. Watch daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model runs through March 31 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,571结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high near 78°F in Dallas on April 1, aligned with climatological normals of about 76°F, but with upside potential from GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts suggesting 82–84°F under a developing upper-level ridge and spring 2026 outlooks favoring above-normal temperatures across Texas due to transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. The fragmented probabilities across 70s–80s outcomes highlight high uncertainty from model spread, including risks of increased cloud cover, Gulf moisture influx, or a trailing cold front delaying mixing and capping highs below 75°F, versus clear skies and southerly winds boosting 84°F+. Watch daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model runs through March 31 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题