Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
22°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
21%
17°C
18%
18°C
17%
19°C
22%
20°C
20%
21°C
18%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
16%
26°C or higher
8%
22°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$8 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
24%
23°C
$0 交易量
15%
24°C
$0 交易量
15%
25°C
$0 交易量
16%
26°C or higher
$68 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
交易量
$76结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$76结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题