Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS analogs project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 5 at around 23°C, matching the market-implied trader consensus where 23°C leads at 23%, closely trailed by 24°C and 26°C outcomes. This positioning reflects recent light showers through April 3 suppressing highs to the low 20s amid overcast skies, with partial clearing expected on April 4-5 under weak high-pressure influence, boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include shower timing and cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could cap at 22°C, while earlier breaks and southerly winds might elevate to 25-26°C, above the early-April climatological average of 21°C. New China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs on April 4 will refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
23°C 24%
24°C 20%
26°C 18%
25°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
24%
24°C
20%
25°C
15%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
14%
23°C 24%
24°C 20%
26°C 18%
25°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
24%
24°C
20%
25°C
15%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS analogs project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 5 at around 23°C, matching the market-implied trader consensus where 23°C leads at 23%, closely trailed by 24°C and 26°C outcomes. This positioning reflects recent light showers through April 3 suppressing highs to the low 20s amid overcast skies, with partial clearing expected on April 4-5 under weak high-pressure influence, boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include shower timing and cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could cap at 22°C, while earlier breaks and southerly winds might elevate to 25-26°C, above the early-April climatological average of 21°C. New China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs on April 4 will refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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