Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 58°F or higher at 73.5% for New York City's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting highs near 60°F amid an upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs showing above-normal temperatures consistent with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average April conditions in the Northeast, bolstered by current climatological normals around 57°F at Central Park. Coastal moderation from onshore breezes and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty captured in secondary odds like 56-57°F at 12%, with daily forecast updates expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?
58°F or higher 66%
56-57°F 14%
54-55°F 11%
46-47°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
14%
58°F or higher
72%
58°F or higher 66%
56-57°F 14%
54-55°F 11%
46-47°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
39°F or below
$161 交易量
1%
40-41°F
$148 交易量
1%
42-43°F
$246 交易量
1%
44-45°F
$149 交易量
1%
46-47°F
$0 交易量
9%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
8%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
8%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
8%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
11%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
14%
58°F or higher
$20 交易量
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 58°F or higher at 73.5% for New York City's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting highs near 60°F amid an upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs showing above-normal temperatures consistent with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average April conditions in the Northeast, bolstered by current climatological normals around 57°F at Central Park. Coastal moderation from onshore breezes and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty captured in secondary odds like 56-57°F at 12%, with daily forecast updates expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
交易量
$724结束日期
Apr 4, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 58°F or higher at 73.5% for New York City's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting highs near 60°F amid an upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs showing above-normal temperatures consistent with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average April conditions in the Northeast, bolstered by current climatological normals around 57°F at Central Park. Coastal moderation from onshore breezes and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty captured in secondary odds like 56-57°F at 12%, with daily forecast updates expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$724结束日期
Apr 4, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 58°F or higher at 73.5% for New York City's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting highs near 60°F amid an upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs showing above-normal temperatures consistent with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook for warmer-than-average April conditions in the Northeast, bolstered by current climatological normals around 57°F at Central Park. Coastal moderation from onshore breezes and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty captured in secondary odds like 56-57°F at 12%, with daily forecast updates expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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