Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park between 64-67°F, driven by overnight divergences in NOAA's GFS and ECMWF model ensembles amid light southerly winds and high pressure aloft. The GFS run projects potential for 68°F or higher through enhanced boundary-layer mixing, reduced afternoon cloud cover, and optimal solar insolation during peak heating from 2-5 PM EDT, while the ECMWF remains conservative at 64-67°F due to lingering partial cloudiness capping temperatures. Morning lows near 40°F follow a warming trend after cooler weekend highs in the 40s-50s, well above the late-March climatological norm of 55°F. National Weather Service hourly observations will resolve intraday uncertainty in cloud evolution and mixing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?
64-65°F 31%
66-67°F 26%
68°F or higher 19%
62-63°F 18%
NEW
$16,652 交易量
NEW
$16,652 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
26%
68°F or higher
19%
64-65°F 31%
66-67°F 26%
68°F or higher 19%
62-63°F 18%
NEW
$16,652 交易量
NEW
$16,652 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
49°F or below
$907 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$1,024 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$1,049 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$1,001 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$891 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$2,109 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$2,084 交易量
4%
62-63°F
$2,500 交易量
18%
64-65°F
$1,894 交易量
31%
66-67°F
$1,181 交易量
26%
68°F or higher
$2,052 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park between 64-67°F, driven by overnight divergences in NOAA's GFS and ECMWF model ensembles amid light southerly winds and high pressure aloft. The GFS run projects potential for 68°F or higher through enhanced boundary-layer mixing, reduced afternoon cloud cover, and optimal solar insolation during peak heating from 2-5 PM EDT, while the ECMWF remains conservative at 64-67°F due to lingering partial cloudiness capping temperatures. Morning lows near 40°F follow a warming trend after cooler weekend highs in the 40s-50s, well above the late-March climatological norm of 55°F. National Weather Service hourly observations will resolve intraday uncertainty in cloud evolution and mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
交易量
$16,652结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park between 64-67°F, driven by overnight divergences in NOAA's GFS and ECMWF model ensembles amid light southerly winds and high pressure aloft. The GFS run projects potential for 68°F or higher through enhanced boundary-layer mixing, reduced afternoon cloud cover, and optimal solar insolation during peak heating from 2-5 PM EDT, while the ECMWF remains conservative at 64-67°F due to lingering partial cloudiness capping temperatures. Morning lows near 40°F follow a warming trend after cooler weekend highs in the 40s-50s, well above the late-March climatological norm of 55°F. National Weather Service hourly observations will resolve intraday uncertainty in cloud evolution and mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,652结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park between 64-67°F, driven by overnight divergences in NOAA's GFS and ECMWF model ensembles amid light southerly winds and high pressure aloft. The GFS run projects potential for 68°F or higher through enhanced boundary-layer mixing, reduced afternoon cloud cover, and optimal solar insolation during peak heating from 2-5 PM EDT, while the ECMWF remains conservative at 64-67°F due to lingering partial cloudiness capping temperatures. Morning lows near 40°F follow a warming trend after cooler weekend highs in the 40s-50s, well above the late-March climatological norm of 55°F. National Weather Service hourly observations will resolve intraday uncertainty in cloud evolution and mixing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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