Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 4, with KNMI's latest guidance pointing to a maximum around 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers alternating with sun and southerly winds at 20-30 km/h. This mid-teens cluster aligns with current high-pressure influence bringing warmer air masses, departing from early April climatological averages of 11-12°C near Schiphol Airport, the likely measurement site. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show variability of 4-6°C due to shower timing, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and boundary layer stability; outcomes from 10-18°C capture this range, while extremes remain lower probability. Watch for KNMI hourly updates and morning soundings resolving cloud evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 4?
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
11°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
9°C or below
11%
10°C
9%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
11%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
11°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
9°C or below
$5 交易量
11%
10°C
$0 交易量
9%
11°C
$0 交易量
25%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C or higher
$15 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 4, with KNMI's latest guidance pointing to a maximum around 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers alternating with sun and southerly winds at 20-30 km/h. This mid-teens cluster aligns with current high-pressure influence bringing warmer air masses, departing from early April climatological averages of 11-12°C near Schiphol Airport, the likely measurement site. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show variability of 4-6°C due to shower timing, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and boundary layer stability; outcomes from 10-18°C capture this range, while extremes remain lower probability. Watch for KNMI hourly updates and morning soundings resolving cloud evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 4, with KNMI's latest guidance pointing to a maximum around 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers alternating with sun and southerly winds at 20-30 km/h. This mid-teens cluster aligns with current high-pressure influence bringing warmer air masses, departing from early April climatological averages of 11-12°C near Schiphol Airport, the likely measurement site. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show variability of 4-6°C due to shower timing, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and boundary layer stability; outcomes from 10-18°C capture this range, while extremes remain lower probability. Watch for KNMI hourly updates and morning soundings resolving cloud evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 4, with KNMI's latest guidance pointing to a maximum around 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers alternating with sun and southerly winds at 20-30 km/h. This mid-teens cluster aligns with current high-pressure influence bringing warmer air masses, departing from early April climatological averages of 11-12°C near Schiphol Airport, the likely measurement site. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show variability of 4-6°C due to shower timing, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and boundary layer stability; outcomes from 10-18°C capture this range, while extremes remain lower probability. Watch for KNMI hourly updates and morning soundings resolving cloud evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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